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Discourse: Prediction Markets, Noticing the Skulls, Rationalism

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Unknown parent

mastodon - Collegamento all'originale
Eugen Rochko
I'm just relieved it's a real picture. It's a very cute bird!
in reply to Eugen Rochko

@Gargron A lovely little fellow. It was fun to hang out with them. A pro tip for being in an enclosure with dozens of birds: wear a rain jacket, a leather jacket, something easy to clean, :-).

A side note, if I may: thank you for your work!





Is there some law or social dynamics that dictates HOAs predictably descend into chaos? Looking at the current political situation in the US, I think I know the answer, but it seems like a fascinating doctoral research topic
in reply to Jerry 🦙💝🦙

I am the HOA president of a 90 unit multi-story condo complex on ~10 acres. So far our biggest drama has come from ex-board members. Other than that I am not sure how you would enable a city to provide an equivalent level of service in high density housing without an HOA unless you used some very creative zoning, easement, and additional enforcement resources.
in reply to Daniel Berman

@danielcberman they are necessary in most cases, but I’ve been involved in 4 of them now and they all seem to follow a similar path


Amigos de Mastodon, se va terminando esta jornada de Viernes, por tanto es el momento adecuado para descansar. Ojalá cada uno de ustedes puedan disfrutar este fin de semana. Saludos.🤗🤗🤗🤗


The Inorganic Heartbeat of German Techno youtu.be/vGhjoN-y5IQ?si=aaJnKb…


⚠️ Scam alert: if anyone ever asks you to "temporarily change" the email address on your Mastodon account, DO NOT DO THIS.

There is currently a scammer posing as a server admin telling people to temporarily change their Mastodon account's email to an address supplied by the scammer. This is a scam, don't do it.

Real admins will NEVER ask you to do this.

You can see examples of this scam in the thread at ohai.social/@redsad/1157080301…

(Thanks @markwyner for the warning about this! 🙏 )

#FediTips

Questa voce è stata modificata (2 mesi fa)


⚠️ Attenzione alle truffe: se qualcuno ti chiede di "cambiare temporaneamente" l'indirizzo email del tuo account Mastodon, NON FARLO.

Il truffatore si spaccia per un amministratore di server e chiede agli utenti di cambiare temporaneamente l'indirizzo email del proprio account Mastodon con un indirizzo fornito dal truffatore stesso. Questa è una truffa, non fatelo.

I veri amministratori NON ti chiederanno MAI di farlo.

social.growyourown.services/@F…

@fediverso

Unknown parent

glitchsoc - Collegamento all'originale
IZ5WGA
@elettrona @Meliodas "Invece i software che gestiscono il fediverso possono essere vulnerabili proprio perché basati su standard aperti" . Questa parte è da brividi
in reply to IZ5WGA

@devnull sì, ma è vero. La moderazione umana però costituisce un argine importante ed è oggi il punto qualificante: nessun social commerciale può permettersi di avere così tanti moderatori per ciascun utente

@elettrona @fediverso @Meliodas



Ha llegado otra noche en Valparaíso.🌕🌕🌕🌕


Curioso,

i miei visitatori più assidui vengono dalla Cina.

vuoi mai che siano bot, eh ?
</ironia>

in reply to quinta - Stefano Quintarelli

è così un po' ovunque in rete, l'ho notato anche sul mio portale, prima con connessioni dalla Russia poi dalla Cina. Molte anche dai Paesi asiatici in generale. Ultimamente anche da Israele (con relativi tentativi di SQL injection), soprattutto da quando in rete condanno il sionismo. Non che serva a molto, ma se non ti garba puoi sempre scrivere due righe di codice per mettere su un filtro che rigetti tutte le richieste che arrivano da un determinato luogo del pianeta, almeno per i bot.




Emergency fixes deployed by #Google and #Apple after targeted attacks
securityaffairs.com/185628/hac…
#securityaffairs #hacking













Lety Does Unboxing the Mastodon Stuffed Toys From Mastodon


Questa voce è stata modificata (2 mesi fa)
in reply to Lety Does Stuff 🔕

I'm not colorblind! I also want to clarify, you asked me what name I gave my plushies. Not all of the plushies! Those are not their colors! The colors are peach and blue. I know it's not precisely blue, but I did not want to use the word blurple.
in reply to Eugen Rochko

Well that's going to be a problem because I've been calling them that for 48 hours now and changing their names at this point will give them an identity crisis

(I'm glad you're not colorblind ❤️​)



Usigrai e CdR Approfondimento: a rischio “il Fattore Umano”


@Giornalismo e disordine informativo
articolo21.org/2025/12/usigrai…
‘Il fattore Umano’, programma Rai d’inchiesta che si occupa di diritti umani violati, è “a rischio”. Lo dicono in una nota congiunta Usigrai e CdR Approfondimento dove si ricorda che la trasmissione,




#Notepad++ fixed updater bugs that allowed malicious update hijacking
securityaffairs.com/185622/hac…
#securityaffairs #hacking


Aprovechando lo que queda de esta tarde en Valparaíso.😃😃😃😃


@GossiTheDog Hi Kevin have you noticed this unusual increase in the number of users connecting to the Tor network in recent months? What is it? Is it C2 malware on the Tor network, or what?


“Liberate Alberto Trentini”. Il 13 dicembre iniziativa a Mestre


@Giornalismo e disordine informativo
articolo21.org/2025/12/liberat…
Alberto Trentini da oltre un anno è ingiustamente detenuto in Venezuela ed è sottoposto ad una carcerazione durissima, senza un’accusa, senza un motivo, senza un avvocato. Se non verrà liberato subito, sarà il




#climatechange is real.

Coalmine expansions would breach climate targets, NSW government warned in ‘game-changer’ report theguardian.com/australia-news…




Dal servizio di #piazzapulita sui subappalti della filiera moda.

Il pezzo che dice il signore più anziano è lampante: “tutta l’Italia fa in nero”.

Chi governa (trasversalmente, senza distinzione partitica) non agisce, anche se avrebbe i mezzi per farlo.

C’è appunto l’Italia, quello che ci sta accanto, in modo diffuso, che ritiene sia giusto fare così.
Probabilmente sarà un fatto culturale radicato.

E allora chi dovremmo realmente guardare?







Una cena di Stato, una discussione sulla guerra, un momento di distrazione. E l'orologio d'oro di Churchill scompare dal taschino. La vera storia del giorno in cui un re mise in imbarazzo i grandi della terra.

#SecondaGuerraMondiale #StoriaDelNovecento #Churchill #WW2 #Storia

boomerissimo.it/2025/12/12/il-…





NEW: Google and Apple have fixed zero-days that the two companies said were being exploited in the wild.

There are no details about these attacks, but usually when this happens, there's a goverment using spyware behind it. Hopefully we will get the full story soon.

techcrunch.com/2025/12/12/goog…



Esce Kali Linux 2025.4! Miglioramenti e Novità nella Distribuzione per la Sicurezza Informatica

📌 Link all'articolo : redhotcyber.com/post/esce-kali…

#redhotcyber #news #kaliLinux #GNOME #KDE #Xfce #Wayland #Linux #distribuzioneLinux #sistemaOperativo


in reply to smeg

I was just having the discussion about how I need to have more outages so it feels more like a one of the big professional services.
in reply to Jerry 🦙💝🦙

Random Cloudflare CAPTCHA for a random geographic zone. That will increase engagement by people posting "it's fine for me".


...e così salta fuori che il profeta della famiglia tradizionale, l'apostolo dei valori cristiani, aka Steve Bannon, si faceva le gite alla pedo-isoletta dell'amico Epstein

te guarda...

che si riferisse a questo quando in una conferenza diceva che, se avessero perso il potere, molti sarebbero finiti in carcere, incluso lui stesso?

edition.cnn.com/2025/12/12/pol…

in reply to quinta - Stefano Quintarelli

è un classico da manuale. È risaputo: più si vive ancorati a sistemi morali astratti più spuntano fuori le perversioni. L'ancoraggio assoluto a sistemi astratti per scegliere chi si vorrebbe essere (norme, regole e valori) non consente di conoscersi in ciò che non ti puoi scegliere (bisogni e tendenze sessuali). Questi pensano di sapere chi sono, ma non sanno chi altri potrebbero essere. Ti ci puoi giocare quello che vuoi: più predicano e impongono il bene, più razzolano nella merda.
Questa voce è stata modificata (2 mesi fa)

in reply to Tiberio

@Tiberio pensa a che livelli siamo ora. Comunque non volevo attribuirmi meriti sulla mia frase, so che ci sono e ci sono stati pensatori più bravi di me.
in reply to Eva De Marco • open to create

le disuguaglianze aumentano, le guerre per il controllo delle sfere di influenza si riaccendono, ma io volevo solamente dire che le osservazioni, non tutte, sulle degenerazione del Capitalismo analizzate con acume da Marx nella seconda metà dell'ottocento sono ancora valide e le tendenze da lui osservate sono sempre le stesse. Ora infatti noi siamo in guerra contro la Russia da 4 anni con un fronte di 1400 km, sottineo noi, con tutti i pericoli di una estensione mondiale del conflitto




How the Past 25 Years of Big Oil’s Lie-Filled Ads Have Delivered ‘Climate Catastrophe’

“Big Oil’s climate deception has evolved from lying about the problem to lying about solutions,” said the head of the Center for Climate Integrity

commondreams.org/news/fossil-f…

climateintegrity.org/news/view…
#ClimateChange #GlobalWarming #UpheavalClimate #MassAtrocity #pollution #ecology #environment #climate



If you spend any time in conservative discussion groups on the internet, they will frequently post links to crime stories with no explanation.

The crimes always involve a suspect who is a racial minority or gay or from some other marginalized group.

They never involve a white male cishet suspect.

Again, you are left to decide for yourself why they keep posting those stories.

I like to do the opposite from time to time.




Zohran Mamdani - the new mayor of New York is an islamist.
And as a true islamist he starts to dismantle the state and particularly the justice system of USA.

nypost.com/2025/12/11/opinion/…

#US #uspol #USA #Mamdani #NYC









ЄС прийняв рішення про безстрокову заморозку російських активів






In Kharkiv, the President #Zelenskyy Congratulated the Warriors on Land Forces Day and Presented Them with State Awards

Read more here 📎

president.gov.ua/en/news/u-har…

reshared this



🇹🇷 Türkiye on Friday expressed concern after a foreign-flagged vessel operated by a Turkish company was damaged in an attack on #Ukraine’s Chornomorsk Port, saying the incident once again underscored earlier warnings over the spillover of the war into the Black Sea.

aa.com.tr/en/turkiye/turkiye-c…

#turkey #russia



🇺🇦 🇷🇺 #Ukraine's military said on Friday it attacked a major Russian oil refinery in Yaroslavl, north-east of Moscow, and industry sources said the facility had suspended output.

reuters.com/business/energy/uk…

#russia



🇫🇷💬 #Ukraine, the United States and European powers are still working to find a joint position that would outline the contours of a peace deal, including security guarantees for Kyiv, that could be taken to #Russia, a French presidency official said on Friday.

reuters.com/world/europe/ukrai…

#europe #usa



🇺🇦 The Ukrainian strategic air defense and ballistic missile system "Sapsan" has officially entered serial production and systematic deployment, according to Militarnyi. This marks a major milestone in Ukraine’s domestic missile development and defense capability.


The Bonfire of the Sanities

by Tom Millard

What went wrong with America?

THE COSMOPOLITAN GLOBALIST, Substack 📎

open.substack.com/pub/clairebe…

reshared this



Footage shows today’s strike by a Russian Shahed‑136 loitering munition on a Turkish vessel in the port of Odesa. The vessel still on fire.


🇺🇦 Ukraine’s SBU drones have again struck Russian oil platforms in the Caspian Sea. This time, long-range drones targeted the Filanovsky and Korchagin platforms, damaging critical equipment and halting operations. This marks the second successful attack on these strategic assets within a week.


U.S. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth has removed Secretary of Army Daniel Driscoll from peace talks to end the war in #Ukraine after he "exceeded his authority," the British newspaper The Telegraph said, citing informed sources.

en.interfax.com.ua/news/genera…

reshared this



Ukrainian strike drones managed to evade russian air defense in #Crimea and hit an An-26 military transport aircraft and two radar stations.

The Defence Intelligence of #Ukraine reported that the operation was successfully carried out by the Prymary unit.

The drone struck the An-26 at the moment when the engines were starting.

militarnyi.com/en/news/diu-dro…

reshared this



Ursula von der Leyen, President of the European Commission

💬 "I welcome the decision of the Council on our proposal to continue the immobilisation of russian Sovereign Assets.

We are sending a strong signal to russia that as long as this brutal war of aggression continues, russia’s costs will continue to rise.

This is a powerful message to #Ukraine:

We want to make sure that our brave neighbour becomes even stronger on the battlefield and at the negotiating table."

reshared this



🇷🇺📉 Shift workers across #Russia are increasingly reporting delayed or unpaid wages, the pro-Kremlin daily Izvestia reported Friday.

themoscowtimes.com/2025/12/12/…



#EU heavyweight #Italy joins #Belgium in opposing russian frozen assets plan

by Gregorio Sorgi

Italy and Belgium team up to press the Commission to suggest alternatives for financing #Ukraine.

politico.eu/article/eu-italy-j…

reshared this



🇷🇺 🇫🇷 The administrator of #Google's defunct Russian business has obtained a temporary freeze on some 110 million euros of the Alphabet-owned company's assets in #France

The move represents a rare attempt by Russian authorities to use legal channels to target assets of western companies overseas, amid rising tensions over the potential use of seized Russian assets in #Europe

reuters.com/business/finance/g…

#russia



Kaja Kalla, The EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs

💬 "The #EU just decided to indefinitely immobilise russian assets.

This ensures that up to €210 billion in russian funds stay on EU soil, unless russia fully pays reparations to #Ukraine for the damage it has caused.

We keep increasing the pressure on russia until it takes negotiations seriously.

Next week’s European Council will be crucial to secure Ukraine’s financial needs for the coming years."

reshared this



🇪🇺 The European Union agreed on Friday to indefinitely freeze Russian central bank assets held in #Europe, removing a big obstacle to using the cash to help #Ukraine defend itself against #Russia

reuters.com/business/finance/e…



Ukrainian President Zelenskyy reports from Kupyansk, where Ukrainian forces conducted successful counterattacks. Nevertheless, it is quite a move.

That man has balls of steel.



Donald #Trump is pursuing regime change - in Europe

by Jonathan Freedland

The US made it clear this week that it plans to help the parties of the European far right gain power. Keir Starmer and his fellow leaders have to face this new reality

theguardian.com/commentisfree/…

reshared this



🇷🇺🇸🇦 A joint investigation by Bellingcat and Lloyd’s List has identified Saudi Arabia as the newest country to import grain directly from a Western-sanctioned port in occupied #Crimea, as #Russia attempts to secure recognition of the Ukrainian territory via a US-led peace plan.

bellingcat.com/news/2025/12/12…





Ukraine’s Security Service and National Bank have issued a commemorative 5‑hryvnia coin honoring the legendary “Operation Spiderweb,” with a limited mintage of 75,000 in souvenir packaging. The coin celebrates the operation that neutralized a significant portion of Russian strategic aviation, details of which were recently revealed by The Wall Street Journal.


Ukraine’s General Staff confirms its forces struck Russia’s Slavneft‑YANOS oil refinery in Yaroslavl, causing explosions and a major fire. They also hit a Russian ammo depot near Avdiivske and struck enemy troop concentrations near Myrnohrad and Rodynske in Donetsk region.


Belgian PM meets Starmer in London as debate continues on using frozen russian assets for #Ukraine

theguardian.com/world/live/202…

reshared this



🇷🇺 #Russia’s Ministry of Defense has begun encouraging college students to sign military contracts to serve as drone operators.

Students are being promised a one-time payment of at least 5.2 million rubles ($65,000 ) and monthly salaries of 210,000–260,000 rubles ($2,600-$3,250), along with the option to terminate their contract after one year.

However, lawyers warn that, under a decree issued by Putin, such contracts are in fact open-ended.

theins.press/en/news/287699



At the forward command post of the 14th Separate Mechanized Brigade in Kupyansk, President of #Ukraine Volodymyr #Zelenskyy, together with Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Oleksandr Syrskyi, met with warriors and congratulated the defenders on Land Forces Day.

Read more here 📎 president.gov.ua/en/news/u-kup…

reshared this



🤡 A senior Kremlin official has proposed a post-war arrangement that would see Russian National Guard and police forces replacing Russian troops in contested Ukrainian territories should Kyiv agree to a U.S.-backed peace proposal, the Kommersant business newspaper reported Friday.

themoscowtimes.com/2025/12/12/…

#russia #ukraine





1/7

President #Zelenskyy

💬 "Today, there have already been several reports from Rustem Umerov on the work of our negotiating team. It has been a rather active day.

reshared this

in reply to Eugene McParland 🇺🇦

6/7

On our side, Umerov is moderating. In all areas, we have one goal: to bring about a real end to the war and to determine the steps that will make peace worthy of Ukraine and guarantee security and recovery.

Thank you to everyone who is helping!

reshared this

in reply to Eugene McParland 🇺🇦

7/7

I am especially grateful to all our soldiers on the front lines, to every effective unit, and to each and every person who is working for our defence and the Ukrainian state. Ukraine's strong position in defence is a strong position in diplomacy.

Glory to Ukraine"

reshared this



🇺🇸 Former Trump adviser Bryan Lanza is now consulting for Russian oil giant Lukoil, Politico reports. Lanza is helping sell Lukoil’s non-Russian assets after new U.S. sanctions. He previously called returning Crimea to Ukraine “unrealistic.”


🇺🇦 🇷🇺 #Ukraine's domestically produced cruise missiles could help deal a devastating blow to Russia's air defense production, enabling increasingly effective long-range drone strikes against other targets inside #Russia, a new report published on Dec. 12 says.

kyivindependent.com/how-ukrain…



В архивах Эпштейна нашли фото презервативов Трампа с надписью «Я ОГРООООМНЫЙ!»




Ukrainian emergency services are currently working to extinguish a fire aboard a Turkish vessel in the port of Odesa following a Russian Iskander-M missile strike.


Ukrainian chief negotiator Rustem Umerov has reportedly met secretly in the US with the FBI director multiple times in Miami to discuss the American peace plan and national security issues. According to The Washington Post, Western diplomats are concerned these back‑channel contacts could be used to pressure Kyiv toward more conciliatory peace terms.

The Ukrainian ambassador’s office confirmed the meetings, saying they focused on security cooperation.





🇧🇪 Belgian central securities depository Euroclear, which holds most of the Russian central bank assets frozen in #Europe, can offset any seizure of its assets in #Russia as a result of lawsuits with the Russian assets it holds in #Belgium, a senior EU officials said.

reuters.com/business/euroclear…

in reply to Russia-Ukraine Daily News

🇪🇺🇧🇪 The European Commission is open to include guarantees that #Belgium wants in the plan to use immobilised Russian central bank assets for a loan to #Ukraine, European Economic Commissioner Valdis Dombrovskis said on Friday.

reuters.com/business/eu-open-a…

#europe #russia



putin has claimed Ukrainian defenders in Kupiansk were surrounded by russian troops.

He even invited international media there to verify it.

President #Zelenskyy did some mythbusting, visiting the city.

Kupiansk is #Ukraine 🇺🇦

United 24 Media / Instagram

reshared this



🇩🇪 🇷🇺 Berlin has summoned #Russia's ambassador over what it said was a huge increase in threatening hybrid activities including disinformation campaigns, espionage, cyberattacks and attempted sabotage, a German foreign ministry spokesperson said on Friday.

reuters.com/world/berlin-summo…





🇺🇦🇪🇺 #Ukraine would be slated to join the European Union by January 1 2027 under a peace proposal being discussed as part of U.S.-mediated negotiations to bring an end to the years-long Russia-Ukraine conflict, the Financial Times reported on Friday.

reuters.com/world/europe/ukrai…



Sensitive content

reshared this





🇺🇦 🇷🇺 Ukrainian forces said they had retaken parts of the northeastern town of Kupiansk and had encircled Russian troops there as President Volodymyr Zelenskiy visited the area and praised the operation, saying it strengthened #Ukraine diplomatically.

reuters.com/world/europe/ukrai…





🇹🇷 Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan has urged Putin to agree to a "limited ceasefire" in Ukraine.

During talks at the Turkmenistan summit, Erdoğan suggested that a pause in hostilities, particularly targeting energy infrastructure and ports, could be beneficial.



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